Insetnavorsing en -ontwikkeling
Inputs research and development
64
The agricultural machinery industry (continued)
Die landboumasjineriebedryf (vervolg)
The tractor price index and the maize price index are given in
Graph 10
. The prices of tractors
increased on average from the 2006/2007 to the 2009/2010 production season, whereafter it moved
downwards. The producer price of maize weakened from the 2006/2007 to the 2009/2010 production
season, whereafter the price increased. A producer price
4
of R1 831 per ton for maize is expected for
the coming marketing season. The expectation of the coming season is that the maize price index
would weaken in comparison to the price index of tractors, which increased tremendously.
Tractor sales
Graph 11
gives a picture of what is currently happening with tractor sales in the South African market.
The "norm" of tractor sales for 1981 was approximately 15 000 units per year and the chance that such
sales would occur again in South Africa is slightly rare. The tractor sales for the last twenty years (1992
to 2012), with a two year moving average of sales, can be seen in
Graph 11
. It should be noted that these
figures exclude exports and include only local sales. Annual tractor sales during this period (1992 to 2012)
varied between a minimum of 2 207 units in 1992 and a maximum of 7 899 units in 2012.
Tractor fleet
Since 1983 the tractor fleet decreased at a constant trend from 211 055 units to its lowest point in 2005
with 62 424 units. The current tractor fleet is 76 882 units (
Graph 12
). The main reason for the decrease
in the size of the tractor fleet is the smaller summer and winter grain plantings over time, as well as the
increased sales of higher than average size (kW) tractors.
Tractor age
The average age of tractors in the tractor fleet is currently 7,0 years. Twenty years ago (in 1992) the total
amount of tractors younger than ten years were 36,7% of the total tractor fleet. Ten years (2002) ago
57,6% of tractors were younger than ten years. Currently, 70,7% of the total tractor fleet is younger than
ten years old. From
Graph 13
the variation in the distribution of the age of the tractor fleet can be seen.
Die trekkerprysindeks en die mielieprysindeks verskyn in
Grafiek 10
. Die pryse van trekkers het
gemiddeld vanaf die 2006/2007- tot die 2009/2010-produksieseisoen gestyg, waarna dit afwaarts
beweeg het. Die produsenteprys van mielies het vanaf die 2006/2007- tot die 2009/2010-produksie-
seisoen verswak, waarna die prys gestyg het. ‘n Produsenteprys
4
van R1 831 per ton vir mielies
word vir die komende bemarkingseisoen verwag. Die verwagting vir die komende seisoen is dat die
mielieprysindeks sal verswak, vergeleke met die prysindeks van trekkers, wat uitermatig gestyg het.
Trekkerverkope
Grafiek 11
verskaf ‘n beeld van wat tans in die Suid-Afrikaanse mark ten opsigte van trekkerverkope
gebeur. Die “norm” van trekkerverkope vir 1981 was ongeveer 15 000 eenhede per jaar en die kans
dat hierdie soort verkope weer in Suid-Afrika kan voorkom, is redelik gering. Die trekkerverkope vir
die afgelope 20 jaar (1992 tot 2012), met ‘n tweejaar bewegende gemiddelde vir verkope, word in
Grafiek 11
getoon. Let daarop dat hierdie syfers uitvoere uitsluit en slegs plaaslike verkope insluit.
Jaarlikse trekkerverkope in hierdie tydperk (1992 tot 2012) het gewissel van ‘n minimum van
2 207 eenhede in 1992 tot ‘n maksimum van 7 899 eenhede in 2012.
Trekkervloot
Sedert 1983 het die trekkervloot konstant verminder vanaf 211 055 eenhede tot die laagste punt in 2005,
met 62 424 eenhede. Die huidige trekkervloot is 76 882 eenhede (
Grafiek 12
). Die vernaamste rede
vir die afname in die grootte van die trekkervloot is die kleiner somer- en winter-graanaanplantings met
verloop van tyd asook die groter verkope van groter as gemiddelde (kW) trekkers.
Trekkerouderdom
Die gemiddelde ouderdom van trekkers in die trekkervloot is tans 7,0 jaar. Twintig jaar gelede (in 1992)
was die totale getal trekkers jonger as tien jaar 36,7% van die totale trekkervloot. Tien jaar gelede (2002)
was slegs 57,6% van die trekkers jonger as tien jaar. Tans is 70,7% van die totale trekkervloot jonger as tien
jaar. Uit
Grafiek 13
kan die variasie in die verspreiding van die ouderdom van die trekkervloot gesien word.
4
Average producer price = Safex, July 2014 price – average differential cost – handling cost
4
Gemiddelde produsenteprys = Safex, Julie 2014-prys – gemiddelde liggingsdifferensiaal – hanteringskoste
The expectation of
the coming season is
that the maize price
index would weaken
in comparison to
the price index
of tractors,
which increased
tremendously.
Die gemiddelde
ouderdom van
trekkers in die
trekkervloot is
tans 7,0 jaar.
1...,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65 67,68,69,70,71,72,73,74,75,76,...168