107 / 143
105
Westelike streke van die land
Terwyl Tabel 2 geraamde produksiekoste vir die Noordwes Provinsie
en Noordwes-Sentrale Vrystaat toon, illustreer
Grafiek 6
(op bladsy 106)
die bruto en netto margesituasie. Volgens die berekeninge het mielies in
die Noordwes-Sentrale Vrystaat op hoër opbrengspotensiaalgronde die
beste bruto marge vir die komende produksieseisoen, gevolg deur soja-
bone. Wanneer die fokus uitsluitlik op mielies val, is dit duidelik dat wins-
gewende mielieproduksie onder druk verkeer – veral wanneer mielies op
laer-as-gemiddelde en gemiddelde opbrengspotensiaalgronde geplant
word. Die hoofklem is dat mielies, gegewe hierdie koste (veranderlike en
vaste koste), nie winsgewend op marginale opbrengspotensiaalgronde
geproduseer kan word nie. Die winsgewendheid van mielies is beslis
’n ander kwessie wanneer mielies in topproduksiegebiede en op hoër
potensiaalgronde geplant word.
Western regions of the country
While Table 2 shows estimated production costs for the North
West Province and North West Central Free State,
Graph 6
(on
page 106) illustrates the gross and net margin situation. According
to the calculations, maize in the North West Central Free State on
higher yield potential soils has the best gross margin for the coming
production season, followed by soybeans. When solely focusing on
maize, it is clear that profitable maize production is under strain
– specifically when maize is planted on below average and average
yield potential soil. The main emphasis is that maize, given these costs
(variable and fixed cost), cannot be produced profitably on marginal
yield potential soils. Maize profitability is definitely another matter when
maize is planted in top production areas and higher potential soils.
Inset- en produksie-oorsig
Input and production overview
Produksiekoste-oorsig
Overview of production costs
North West Province
Noordwes Provinsie
North West Central Free State
Noordwes-Sentrale Vrystaat
Maize
Mielies
Sunflower
Sonneblom
Soybeans
Sojabone
Maize
(higher yield)
Mielies
(hoër opbrengs)
Maize
Mielies
Sunflower
Sonneblom
Soybeans
Sojabone
1. Income
/
Inkomste
Planned yield
/
Beplande opbrengs (t/ha)
4,00
1,50
1,25
6,50
4,50
1,50
1,75
Safex price (best grade)
/
Safex-prys (beste graad) (R/ton)*
R2 300
R4 750
R4 850
R2 300
R2 300
R4 750
R4 850
Deductions
/
Aftrekkings (R/ton)
R260
R295
R63
R280
R280
R323
R63
Producer price
/
Produsenteprys (R/ton)
R2 040
R4 455
R4 787
R2 020
R2 020
R4 427
R4 787
Gross income
/
Bruto inkomste (R/ha)
R8 160
R6 683
R5 984
R13 130
R9 090
R6 641
R8 377
2. Variable costs
/
Veranderlike kostes
Seed
/
Saad
R932
R437
R616
R1 264
R1 087
R499
R513
Fertiliser
/
Kunsmis
R2 018
R946
R979
R3 296
R2 328
R1 138
R949
Lime
/
Kalk
R167
R167
R167
R140
R140
R140
R140
Fuel
/
Brandstof
R1 207
R1 007
R935
R1 223
R1 261
R1 155
R1 167
Repairs
/
Reparasie
R923
R730
R626
R792
R778
R577
R647
Herbicides
/
Onkruiddoders
R858
R161
R519
R667
R843
R392
R253
Pesticides
/
Plaagdoder
R385
R24
R184
R174
R96
R17
R457
Input insurance
/
Insetversekering
R367
R130
R117
R256
R177
R29
R163
Grain price hedging
/
Graanprysverskansing
R716
R220
R283
R829
R710
R256
R284
Crop insurance
/
Oesversekering
R145
R187
R497
R367
R267
R299
R754
Casual labour
/
Losarbeid
R192
R192
R192
R192
R192
R192
R192
Production credit interest
/
Produksiekrediet-rente
R421
R218
R288
R529
R453
R276
R317
Total variable costs
/
Totale veranderlike koste (R/ha)
R8 331
R4 419
R5 402
R9 729
R8 332
R5 070
R5 837
Total fixed costs
/
Totale vaste koste (R/ha)
R2 611
R2 355
R2 407
R2 572
R2 457
R2 356
R2 179
Total costs
/
Totale koste (R/ha)
R10 942
R6 774
R7 810
R12 301
R10 789
R7 426
R8 017
3. Gross margin
/
Bruto marge (R/ha)
-R171
R2 263
R581
R3 401
R758
R1 571
R2 540
4. Net margin
/
Netto marge (R/ha)
-R2 782
-R91
-R1 826
R829
-R1 699
-R786
R360
Breakeven (variable costs only)
/
Gelykbreek (slegs veranderlike koste)
Yield
/
Opbrengs (t/ha)
4,08
0,99
1,13
4,82
4,12
1,15
1,22
Safex price
/
Safex-prys (R/ha)
2 343
3 241
4 385
1 777
2 132
3 703
3 399
Breakeven (variable + fixed cost)
/
Gelykbreek (veranderlike + vaste koste)
Yield
/
Opbrengs (t/ha)
5,36
1,52
1,63
6,09
5,34
1,68
1,67
Safex price
/
Safex-prys (R/ha)
2 995
4 811
6 311
2 172
2 678
5 274
4 644
Comparison of production cost budgets for summer grain for the 2018/2019 season – western regions of the country
Vergelyking van produksiekostebegrotings vir somergraan vir die 2018/2019-seisoen – westelike streke van die land
2
*Prices are based on an average Safex price, which is calculated from prices during middle December 2018.
*Pryse is gebaseer op ‘n gemiddelde Safex-prys, wat bereken is van pryse in middel Desember 2018.