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107

March 2018

Research and acceptance of new technolo-

gy throughout the chain, play a very impor-

tant role. The adoption and implementation

of more advanced techniques provide mill-

ers with the ability to produce maize meal

more efficiently than in the past. The capital

outlay to erect a new proper mill with a mill-

ing capacity of 1 ton per hour is estimated

between R4 million and R5 million.

Factors affecting the price

of maize meal

The retail price of maize meal is influenced

by several factors, namely:

The time of the month of sale

It is a fact that consumers buy more maize

meal towards the end of and the beginning

of the next month when they receive sala-

ries, wages and grants.

The brand

Some consumers are more brand sensitive

than others. Consumers in South Africa tend

to prefer and buy certain brands, depending

on their available income, at specific times

of the year. It is also the opinion of millers

that consumers switch to a cheaper brand

when maize meal prices increase.

The type of maize meal

– super or special

Mainly two types of maize meal are sold in

South Africa, namely super and special. I am

also of the opinion that the lower end con-

sumer tends to switch to special maize meal

when maize meal prices increase. Special

maize meal has a higher extraction rate and

therefore more product can be retrieved,

which normally makes it cheaper.

The packaging costs

It would appear as if poorer consumers tend

to move to bigger packages, either 10 kg

or 12,5 kg – and even to a 25 kg package.

The typical rule of thumb is that more than

70% of maize meal is bought in 10 kg bags

and bigger. Certain millers report that pack-

ages more than 10 kg comprise 90% of their

sales.

Transport and distribution

costs

The transport from the mill to the retail out-

let also plays an imperative role. The further

the distance from the mill, the higher is this

part of the costs.

The operational cost

to mill maize

The operational cost can differ from area to

area. For example, the operational cost of

a mill in an urban area will be much higher

than that of a mill in the rural areas, due to

factors such as municipal rates and different

structures for electricity tariffs.

Machinery cost

The capital cost to erect a maize mill can

easily be R5 million for a mill with a capacity

of a ton per hour.

Maintenance cost

The maintenance cost to operate a mill can

easily be up to 10% of the capital cost.

The price of maize

The price of maize is probably one of the

most determining factors of maize meal.

Prices normally increase when shortage

is expected in the market. It is also at this

stage that maize millers start contracting

for longer periods in advance – either on

Safex, with producers or with maize storage

owners.

Storage cost

South Africa has a well-developed storage

infrastructure. The cost to store maize dif-

fers from silo owner to silo owner. Alterna-

tive facilities also exist, like on-farm storage,

silo bags and bunkers.

Hedging cost

Millers explain that they need to hedge or

either procure maize on contract basis to

ensure they have enough stock for their

clients. Therefore, there is a difference be-

tween the maize meal price and the maize

price. When surpluses exist, the difference

period is normally shorter compared to

longer periods when shortage exists.

Retailers and retail margins

The South African retail system is highly

concentrated and has been investigated

by the South African competition authori-

ties several times. They normally come

under crossfire from producers and from

consumers.

It is important to note that they contribute

to the very well-developed food system of

South Africa. The competition is tight and

there are many barriers to entry in the mar-

ket. Retailers normally contract millers in

advance to mill a specific quality of maize

and to supply a certain quantity. Retailers

need a constant flow and a reliable supplier

who consistently supplies a quality product.

Retail margins can differ from retailer to re-

tailer and from time to time.

Shelf life

The shelf life of maize meal is short. The

closer maize meal comes to its sell by date

the cheaper it becomes – and then it is nor-

mally offered as special offer.

Rebates paid to retailers

If in the negotiation process a retailer wants

to take up a certain quantity of maize meal

from a miller, rebates are negotiated and

need to be paid back to the retailer. The per-

centage differs from negotiation process to

negotiation process and from quantity to

quantity.

Summary

Maize meal is an important source of starch

for many South Africans. It also plays a vital

role in the rural economy of South Africa.

The maize meal industry is well developed

and is also highly concentrated, as is evi-

dent from this article.

The industry received a lot of attention in

the past due to uncompetitive behaviour.

Some of the stakeholders were heavily fined

in the past. It was also reported that numer-

ous maize meal firms went out of business

when the white maize price increased to

above R3 000/ton in the 2016/2017 market-

ing season.

The next article will focus on maize meal

trends as well as the price transmission

effect thereof and how the National Agri-

cultural Marketing Council (NAMC) reports

thereon.

MAIZE MILLERS

MARKET SHARE IN %

Premier Foods

27

Tiger Milling Co

20

Pioneer (Sasko)

18

Pride Milling

10

Total

75

TABLE 1: MARKET SHARE OF THE TOP FOUR MILLERS IN SOUTH AFRICA.

Source:

Who-owns-whom

, 2017