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85

INPUT AND PRODUCTION OVERVIEW

Graph 8

compares the price indexes of the tractor price and the maize price since 1985/1986. From

the graph, the price ratio between tractors and the maize price narrowed the past few seasons,

predominantly due to the high maize prices.

Tractor sales

Graph 9

depicts what is currently happening with tractor sales in the South African market. Note that

these figures exclude exports and include only local sales. Annual tractor sales during this period

(1995 - 2022) varied between a minimum of 2 624 units in 1999 and a maximum of 7 899 units in

2012. Between September 2021 and September 2022, tractor sales increased by about 15,5%, from

5 610 units to 6 479 units. Sentiments in the market are still very positive. The market for agricultural

machinery remains very active. It appears that producers are taking advantage of the past good

summer grain crop and good commodity prices to invest in new equipment and replace older exist-

ing equipment. According to Agfacts, with the continued good sales, it looks like tractor sales could

exceed 8 500 units for the 2022 season.

GRAPH 8

INDICES FOR THE PRODUCER PRICE FOR MAIZE AND THE PRICES

OF TRACTORS

1985/1986

1986/1987

1987/1988

1988/1989

1989/1990

1990/1991

1991/1992

1992/1993

1993/1994

1994/1995

1995/1996

1996/1997

1997/1998

1998/1999

1999/2000

2000/2001

2001/2002

2002/2003

2003/2004

2004/2005

2005/2006

2006/2007

2007/2008

2008/2009

2009/2010

2010/2011

2011/2012

2012/2013

2013/2014

2014/2015

2015/2016

2016/2017

2017/2018

2018/2019

2019/2020

2020/2021

2021/2022*

2022/2023*

2 000

1 800

1 600

1 400

1 200

1 000

800

600

400

200

0

TRACTOR PRICE INDEX

Index

MAIZE PRICE INDEX

*Preliminary

SOURCE: GRAIN SA

SOURCE: GRAIN SA

AVERAGE TRACTOR SALES = 5 578 UNITS

Indices: 1985/1986 = 100

GRAPH 9

ANNUAL TRACTOR SALES

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

9 000

8 000

7 000

6 000

5 000

4 000

3 000

2 000

1 000

0

Units