15
          
        
        
          
            August 2014
          
        
        
          
            Graph 2: Annual tractor sales versus annual averagemaizeprice.
          
        
        
          Source: AGFACTS (2014) andGrainSA (2014)
        
        
          
            Graph 3: Annual harvester sales versus annual averagemaizeprice.
          
        
        
          Source: AGFACTS (2014) andGrainSA (2014)
        
        
          
            Graph 4: Annual averagemaizeprice versus retail sales at nominal prices (R’m).
          
        
        
          Source:GrainSA andDirectorateAgriculturalMechanisation/SAAMA/AGFACTS
        
        
          maize price; with 2010, 2011 and 2012
        
        
          showing a strong correlation (
        
        
          
            Graph 3
          
        
        
          ).
        
        
          The last few years’ increase in harvester
        
        
          and tractor sales can be accounted to
        
        
          technological advancement; producers
        
        
          continue to replace and upgrade their
        
        
          equipment.
        
        
          Maize price versus other
        
        
          agricultural machinery and
        
        
          inputs
        
        
          
            Graph 4
          
        
        
          compares the retail sales of
        
        
          tillage equipment, planters, fertiliser, pest
        
        
          control, aswell ashayand silageequipment
        
        
          at nominal prices to the average annual
        
        
          maizeprice.
        
        
          Thesalesof all these inputsand implements
        
        
          moved steadily upwards in 2008, and the
        
        
          same trend was maintained in the follow-
        
        
          ing years, in line with the decline in the
        
        
          annual maize prices. However, maize prices
        
        
          slightly decreased between 2012 and 2013,
        
        
          but the overall sales for the mentioned
        
        
          equipment did not follow the trend (it
        
        
          reached a new all-timehighduring 2013).
        
        
          Summary
        
        
          The above analysis shows a strong
        
        
          correlation between the maize price and
        
        
          agricultural machinery sales. Currently
        
        
          (2014), maize prices have been fairly low
        
        
          compared to the previous years, hence it
        
        
          can be expected that the same trend will
        
        
          be apparent to agricultural equipment sales
        
        
          data.
        
        
          
            SAGrain/
          
        
        
          Sasol Nitrophoto competition